Two moneyline favourites and an over comprise Thursday’s MLB parlay picks.
The pregame narrative: The Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants have strong arms on the mound, but the total is low and they can top a teased-down number. Elsewhere, I’m betting on the Minnesota Twins and Philadelphia Phillies to score victories to round out this ticket.
Check out the best MLB parlay picks for Tuesday, August 15.
MLB parlay picks
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Parlay: Braves vs. Giants over 6.5 runs + Phillies moneyline + Twins moneyline (+317)
Braves vs. Giants over 6.5 runs (-152): This certainly seems like a pitcher’s duel on paper.
Max Fried and Logan Webb square off and both own solid numbers this season. Fried pairs a 3.56 ERA with a 3.59 FIP while Webb boasts a 3.32 ERA and a 2.86 FIP.
The former, however, has struggled ahead of this contest. He has a 6.64 ERA and a 5.10 FIP over his last four starts while opponents have knocked him around to the tune of an .871 OPS.
The over on this total has cashed in three of his last four outings.
Both offences are capable of scoring, too. San Francisco is 15th in runs per game (4.35) while Atlanta is 16th (4.34).
These two squads have exceeded this total in their last two games.
Other parlay picks
Twins moneyline (-117): I like how this matchup sets up for Minnesota.
The Texas Rangers send Chad Bradford to the mound and the lefty is having a strong season. He combines a 3.60 ERA with a 3.24 FIP and the Rangers are 5-1 in his outings.
There’s one tiny problem, however, that I expect to work against Texas.
Minnesota hits southpaws well. The Twins have the ninth-best OPS against left-handed pitching (.754) this season.
They also send their best arm, Bailey Ober, to the mound. Ober owns a 3.52 ERA and 3.68 FIP this season and he’s having one of his best stretches of the campaign.
Ober has only allowed four runs over his last four starts (28.0 IP) and the team has won each contest.
Phillies moneyline (-286): Philadelphia is a big favourite against the Washington Nationals and for good reason.
Zack Wheeler takes the bump and he’s been stellar. The righty has a 2.78 ERA and 3.41 FIP this season.
He’s been especially dominant since the calendar flipped to August. He boasts a 1.29 ERA and 2.32 FIP and has struck out 17 batters across 14 innings.
The Nats are rolling with rookie Mitchell Parker who’s having a solid freshman campaign. His 3.83 ERA and 3.96 FIP are good numbers, but unlike Wheeler, he’ll have to face one of the best lineups in baseball tonight.
Philadelphia is seventh in runs per game (4.84) while Washington is 17th (4.28).
The Phillies have dominated this matchup in 2024, winning five of their six meetings with the Nationals.
Picks made at 10:23 a.m. on 08/15/24.
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